WATT PoultryUSA - January 2018 - 19
of two Earths thanks to modern
technology and methods. However,
the world's supply of arable land
is shrinking due to urbanization,
salinization, erosion, population
growth and desertification.
eggs and farmed fish will grow significantly.
The future of poultry production,
however, will be shaped by higher
energy and grain costs as well as
global climate change, Aho said.
Poultry production will grow, but
slower than expected. ■
MOST OF THE
exports will be
in the form of
leg and thigh
The future of corn production is
also in question, Aho said, because
of the use of non-renewable inorganic fertilizers. Corn grown without fertilizer yields about 4 metric
tons per hectare while corn grown
with fertilizer yields about 10 metric
tons per hectare. Corn production,
he said, is made possible largely by
Future of meat consumption
Given those challenges, what
level of global meat consumption
can be expected in the future? An
optimist would say consumption
could double by 2050, Aho said, an
alarmist would say consumption
will only grow by 50 percent in the
same time span. By 2050, the per
capita consumption of pork and beef
will likely shrink while chicken,
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